Certor

Lille – Monaco

Ligue 1 · August 24, 2025

Lille 1–0 Monaco

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lille 42% X · 26% 2 · Monaco 32%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.55 – 1.30
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 22, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.