Certor

Lille – Nice

Ligue 1 · May 19, 2024

Lille 2–2 Nice

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lille 45% X · 30% 2 · Nice 25%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals1.29 – 0.90
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 19, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.