Certor

Lille – Nice

Ligue 1 · January 17, 2025

Lille 2–1 Nice

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lille 45% X · 29% 2 · Nice 26%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.39 – 0.98
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 17, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.