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Lille – Strasbourg

Ligue 1 · January 25, 2026

Lille 1–4 Strasbourg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lille 53% X · 25% 2 · Strasbourg 22%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.63 – 0.96
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 23, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.