Certor

Lille – Troyes

Ligue 1 · September 13, 2026

Lille 2–0 Troyes

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lille 74% X · 17% 2 · Troyes 9%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals2.37 – 0.73
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 13, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.