Liverpool – Arsenal
Premier League · August 31, 2025
Liverpool
1–0
Arsenal
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Liverpool 38%
X · 26%
2 · Arsenal 36%
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Expected goals | 1.43 – 1.38 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
August 30, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.