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Liverpool – Aston Villa

Premier League · November 1, 2025

Liverpool 2–0 Aston Villa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Liverpool 57% X · 22% 2 · Aston Villa 21%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.93 – 1.09
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 1, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.