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Liverpool – Burnley

Premier League · February 10, 2024

Liverpool 3–1 Burnley

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Liverpool 82% X · 12% 2 · Burnley 6%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals2.88 – 0.67
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 10, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.