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Liverpool – Man United

Premier League · January 5, 2025

Liverpool 2–2 Man United

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Liverpool 66% X · 19% 2 · Man United 15%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals2.36 – 1.03
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 5, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.