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Liverpool – Man United

Premier League · October 19, 2025

Liverpool 1–2 Man United

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Liverpool 61% X · 21% 2 · Man United 18%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals2.15 – 1.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.