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Liverpool – Newcastle

Premier League · January 1, 2024

Liverpool 4–2 Newcastle

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Liverpool 59% X · 20% 2 · Newcastle 21%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.97 – 1.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 30, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.