Liverpool – Newcastle
Premier League · January 31, 2026
Liverpool
4–1
Newcastle
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Liverpool 52%
X · 24%
2 · Newcastle 24%
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Both teams to score | 62% |
| Expected goals | 1.92 – 1.27 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 31, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.