Certor

Liverpool – Nott'm Forest

Premier League · November 22, 2025

Liverpool 0–3 Nott'm Forest

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Liverpool 68% X · 18% 2 · Nott'm Forest 14%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals2.36 – 0.98
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 22, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.