Certor

Liverpool – Southampton

Premier League · March 8, 2025

Liverpool 3–1 Southampton

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Liverpool 88% X · 8% 2 · Southampton 4%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals3.44 – 0.63
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 8, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.