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Lorient – Lens

Ligue 1 · March 14, 2026

Lorient 2–1 Lens

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lorient 26% X · 25% 2 · Lens 49%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.12 – 1.60
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 13, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.