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Lorient – Marseille

Ligue 1 · April 18, 2026

Lorient 2–0 Marseille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lorient 25% X · 24% 2 · Marseille 51%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.21 – 1.80
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 17, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.