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Lorient – Monaco

Ligue 1 · September 17, 2023

Lorient 2–2 Monaco

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lorient 28% X · 25% 2 · Monaco 47%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.29 – 1.74
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 15, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.