Certor

Lorient – Monaco

Ligue 1 · October 18, 2026

Lorient 1–0 Monaco

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lorient 30% X · 25% 2 · Monaco 45%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.32 – 1.66
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 18, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.