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Lorient – Montpellier

Ligue 1 · October 1, 2023

Lorient 0–3 Montpellier

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lorient 40% X · 25% 2 · Montpellier 35%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals1.63 – 1.51
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 29, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.