Lorient – Paris FC
Ligue 1 · April 5, 2026
Lorient
1–1
Paris FC
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Lorient 42%
X · 27%
2 · Paris FC 31%
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Expected goals | 1.39 – 1.16 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 3, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.