Certor

Lorient – Toulouse

Ligue 1 · April 28, 2024

Lorient 1–2 Toulouse

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lorient 35% X · 27% 2 · Toulouse 38%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.39 – 1.45
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 26, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.