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Luton – Arsenal

Premier League · December 5, 2023

Luton 3–4 Arsenal

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Luton 13% X · 19% 2 · Arsenal 68%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals0.72 – 2.03
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 2, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.