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Luton – Aston Villa

Premier League · March 2, 2024

Luton 2–3 Aston Villa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Luton 25% X · 21% 2 · Aston Villa 54%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals1.29 – 2.00
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 2, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.