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Luton – Crystal Palace

Premier League · November 25, 2023

Luton 2–1 Crystal Palace

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Luton 26% X · 29% 2 · Crystal Palace 45%
Over 2.5 goals33%
Both teams to score38%
Expected goals0.82 – 1.19
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 25, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.