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Luton – Liverpool

Premier League · November 5, 2023

Luton 1–1 Liverpool

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Luton 8% X · 14% 2 · Liverpool 78%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals0.64 – 2.47
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 4, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.