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Luton – Man City

Premier League · December 10, 2023

Luton 1–2 Man City

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Luton 7% X · 12% 2 · Man City 81%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals0.66 – 2.68
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 9, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.