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Luton – West Ham

Premier League · September 1, 2023

Luton 1–2 West Ham

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Luton 14% X · 19% 2 · West Ham 67%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals0.86 – 2.13
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 1, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.