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Lyon – Auxerre

Ligue 1 · April 25, 2026

Lyon 3–2 Auxerre

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lyon 61% X · 22% 2 · Auxerre 17%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals2.00 – 0.96
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 24, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.