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Lyon – Marseille

Ligue 1 · February 4, 2024

Lyon 1–0 Marseille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lyon 40% X · 27% 2 · Marseille 33%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.50 – 1.34
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 2, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.