Certor

Lyon – Marseille

Ligue 1 · August 31, 2025

Lyon 1–0 Marseille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lyon 39% X · 24% 2 · Marseille 37%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score64%
Expected goals1.61 – 1.56
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 29, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.