Certor

Lyon – Metz

Ligue 1 · November 5, 2023

Lyon 1–1 Metz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lyon 69% X · 19% 2 · Metz 12%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals2.33 – 0.87
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 3, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.