Certor

Lyon – Metz

Ligue 1 · August 23, 2025

Lyon 3–0 Metz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lyon 67% X · 19% 2 · Metz 14%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals2.22 – 0.91
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 22, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.