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Lyon – Monaco

Ligue 1 · April 28, 2024

Lyon 3–2 Monaco

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lyon 43% X · 23% 2 · Monaco 34%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams to score69%
Expected goals1.89 – 1.65
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 26, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.