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Lyon – Montpellier

Ligue 1 · August 19, 2023

Lyon 1–4 Montpellier

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lyon 64% X · 19% 2 · Montpellier 17%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Both teams to score66%
Expected goals2.49 – 1.24
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 18, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.