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Lyon – Nice

Ligue 1 · February 15, 2026

Lyon 2–0 Nice

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lyon 51% X · 23% 2 · Nice 26%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals1.86 – 1.29
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 13, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.