Certor

Lyon – Nice

Ligue 1 · October 18, 2026

Lyon 2–1 Nice

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lyon 52% X · 24% 2 · Nice 24%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.85 – 1.18
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 18, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.