Certor

Lyon – Paris FC

Ligue 1 · March 8, 2026

Lyon 1–1 Paris FC

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lyon 60% X · 22% 2 · Paris FC 18%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.97 – 1.00
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 6, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.