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Lyon – Paris SG

Ligue 1 · February 23, 2025

Lyon 2–3 Paris SG

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lyon 26% X · 22% 2 · Paris SG 52%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams to score69%
Expected goals1.49 – 2.16
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 21, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.