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Lyon – Rennes

Ligue 1 · May 3, 2026

Lyon 4–2 Rennes

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lyon 44% X · 25% 2 · Rennes 31%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals1.69 – 1.39
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 2, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.