Certor

M'gladbach – Bayern Munich

Bundesliga · January 11, 2025

M'gladbach 0–1 Bayern Munich

final score

What we said before the match

1 · M'gladbach 14% X · 18% 2 · Bayern Munich 68%
Over 2.5 goals78%
Both teams to score69%
Expected goals1.28 – 2.82
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 10, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.