Certor

M'gladbach – Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · December 2, 2023

M'gladbach 2–1 Hoffenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · M'gladbach 49% X · 23% 2 · Hoffenheim 28%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams to score71%
Expected goals2.13 – 1.57
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 1, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.