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M'gladbach – Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · May 16, 2026

M'gladbach 4–0 Hoffenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · M'gladbach 39% X · 24% 2 · Hoffenheim 37%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score69%
Expected goals1.80 – 1.73
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 16, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.