Certor

M'gladbach – Leverkusen

Bundesliga · August 26, 2023

M'gladbach 0–3 Leverkusen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · M'gladbach 38% X · 25% 2 · Leverkusen 37%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams to score67%
Expected goals1.69 – 1.66
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 25, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.