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M'gladbach – Mainz

Bundesliga · March 7, 2025

M'gladbach 1–3 Mainz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · M'gladbach 43% X · 27% 2 · Mainz 30%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals1.70 – 1.38
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 7, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.