Certor

M'gladbach – Union Berlin

Bundesliga · February 28, 2026

M'gladbach 1–0 Union Berlin

final score

What we said before the match

1 · M'gladbach 44% X · 28% 2 · Union Berlin 28%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.56 – 1.21
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 27, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.