Certor

Mainz – Augsburg

Bundesliga · February 7, 2026

Mainz 2–0 Augsburg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Mainz 48% X · 28% 2 · Augsburg 24%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.57 – 1.03
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 6, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.