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Mainz – Bayern Munich

Bundesliga · October 21, 2023

Mainz 1–3 Bayern Munich

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Mainz 13% X · 19% 2 · Bayern Munich 68%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals1.09 – 2.55
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 20, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.