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Mainz – Freiburg

Bundesliga · March 15, 2025

Mainz 2–2 Freiburg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Mainz 45% X · 28% 2 · Freiburg 27%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.56 – 1.17
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 14, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.