Certor

Mainz – Heidenheim

Bundesliga · December 16, 2023

Mainz 0–1 Heidenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Mainz 56% X · 25% 2 · Heidenheim 19%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.98 – 1.11
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 15, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.