Certor

Mainz – Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · April 13, 2024

Mainz 4–1 Hoffenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Mainz 43% X · 26% 2 · Hoffenheim 31%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals1.67 – 1.39
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 13, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.